Shrinkage
2026-10-06
Regularization
Ridge Regression
LASSO Regression
Caution
Statisticians warn against using regularization techniques as it threatens inference. If one must be done, Ridge Regression is preferred.
Shrinkage methods are techniques that will reduce a full parameterized model (a high number of predictors) to a lower parameterized model (a smaller number of predictors).
Ridge regression incorporates a shrinkage penalty term to the least squares formula. The shrinkage penalty term will reduce the \(\beta\) coefficients towards 0 based on a penalty parameter (\(\lambda\))
\[\sum^n_{i=1}\left(Y_i-\beta_0 +\sum^p_{j=1}X_{ij}\beta_j\right)^2 + \lambda\sum^p_{j=1}\beta_j^2\]
\[ \ell(\boldsymbol \beta|\boldsymbol Y;\boldsymbol X) = \sum^n_{i=1}\log\left(f\left\{Y_i;\boldsymbol \beta, X_i\right\}\right) + \lambda\sum^p_{j=1}\beta_j^2 \]
The inclusion of a tuning parameter \(\lambda\) helps control the bias-variance tradeoff. An increase in \(\lambda\) will begin to reduce the variance, while slightly increasing the bias in the prediction of new data.
Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) is known as a shrinkage method which forces \(\beta\) coefficients that do not have a significant predict power towards and possibly equal to 0.
\[\sum^n_{i=1}\left(Y_i-\beta_0 +\sum^p_{j=1}X_{ij}\beta_j\right)^2 + \lambda\sum^p_{j=1}|\beta_j|\]
\[ \ell(\boldsymbol \beta|\boldsymbol Y;\boldsymbol X) = \sum^n_{i=1}\log\left(f\left\{Y_i;\boldsymbol \beta, X_i\right\}\right) + + \lambda\sum^p_{j=1}|\beta_j| \]
Each method is capable on identifying the optimum MSE for the Bias-Variance trade-off scenario. This will lead to a lower prediction error. The key is to find the optimal penalty parameter. This can be done with a Cross-Validation technique (next lecture).